Oscar Predictions

My final predictions in the above the line categories for the Oscars. The nominations are this Tuesday! Wow, seems like it was just yesterday that Moonlight upset La La Land for Best Picture.

This year is all over the place. Three Billboards was an early front-runner, fell off a bit and is now back in the front. The Shape of Water and Dunkirk both seem like good bets for Best Director, but both missed out on the much needed SAG ensemble nomination. No film has won Best Picture without it. (A sign we should have seen for La La Land.) Lady Bird and Get Out, both have over-performed and seem to be the two films with the most passion behind them. Will this carry over for the win? I, Tonya seems to be peaking while The Florida Project might be limping towards the finish. Perhaps both get in? 

Will anyone else fall to their past? Will James Franco still get nominated? His scandal broke at the end of the voting period. 

Guess we will find out soon.

Best Picture:

1. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

2. Lady Bird

3. The Shape of Water

4. Get Out

5. Dunkirk

6. Call Me by Your Name

7. The Florida Project

8. The Post

9. I, Tonya

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The Big Sick

Phantom Thread

Darkest Hour

Best Actor:

1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

2. Timmy Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

3. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

4. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

5. Tom Hanks, The Post

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James Franco, The Disaster Artist

Best Actress:

1. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

2. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

3. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

4. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

5. Meryl Streep, The Post

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Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game

Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul

Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

3. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

4. Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name

5. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

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Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name

Steve Carrel, Battle of the Sexes

Best Supporting Actress:

1. Allison Janney, I, Tonya

2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick

4. Hong Chau, Downsizing

5. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

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Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread

Catherine Keener, Get Out

Best Original Screenplay:

1. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

2. Lady Bird

3. Get Out

4. The Shape of Water

5. The Big Sick

Best Adapted Screenplay:

1. Call Me by Your Name

2. The Disaster Artist

3. Mudbound

4. Molly's Game

5. All the Money in the World