Oscar Predictions - Nov 20 (critics awards are about to begin!)

(Roma)

NOVEMBER OSCAR PREDICTIONS

As we approach Thanksgiving, the critics are about to unleash their picks for the best in film for 2018. The critics can help clear up the race or make it murkier. Last year Laurie Metcalf, Timothee Chalamet and Willem Dafoe seemed to be the critics favorite, but when the televised awards came around Allison Janney, Gary Oldman and Sam Rockwell swept their categories. However the critics can help bring attention to an underseen or early in the year contender that can result in them making it to the party.

Next month at this time many organizations will have announced their winners and the Golden Globes and SAG will have announced their nominees, so the picture will be much clearer.

****I don't predict the tech categories until closer to showtime. ****

November Predictions: (October's Predictions in parenthesis)

Best Picture:

1. A Star is Born (1, =)

2. Roma (2, =)

3. Vice (7, +4)

4. The Favourite (4, =)

5. Black Panther (6, +1)

6. Green Book (3, -3)

7. BlackkKlansman (8, +1)

8. Widows (5, -3)

9. First Man (9, =)

Other Contenders:

Mary Poppins Returns

If Beale Street Could Talk

Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Crazy Rich Asians

Best Director:

1. Alfonso Cuarón, Roma (1, =)

2. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born (2, =)

3. Spike Lee, BlackkKlansman (3, =)

4. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite (4,=)

5. Adam McKay, Vice (New)

Drop Outs:

Damien Chazelle, First Man (5)

Other Contenders:

Steve McQueen, Widows

Ryan Coogler, Black Panther

Best Actor:

1. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born (1, =)

2. Christian Bale, Vice (2,=)
3. Viggo Mortensen, Green Book (3, =)
4. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody (New)
5. Ryan Gosling, First Man (4, -1)

Drop Outs:
Ethan Hawke, First Reformed (5)

Other Contenders: 
Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Mary Poppins Returns

Best Actress:
1. Olivia Colman, The Favourite (2, =1)
2. Lady Gaga, A Star is Born (1, -1)
3. Glenn Close, The Wife (3,=)
4. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (5,+1)
5. Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns (New)

Drop Outs:
Viola Davis, Widows (4)

Other Contenders: 
Toni Collette, Hereditary
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Saoirse Ronan, Mary, Queen of Scots
Elsie Fisher, Eighth Grade

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Mahershala Ali, Green Book (1, =)

2. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (4, +2)

3. Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy (3, =)

4. Sam Elliott, A Star is Born (2,-2)

5. Steve Carell, Vice (New)

Drop Outs:

Lin-Manuel Miranda, Mary Poppins Returns (5)

Other Contenders:

Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther

Daniel Kaluuya, Widows

Sam Rockwell, Vice

Adam Driver, BlackkKlansman

Hugh Grant, Paddington 2

Best Supporting Actress:

1. Amy Adams, Vice (1,=)

2. Emma Stone, The Favourite (2,=)

3. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk (3,=)

4. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite (4,=)

5. Meryl Streep, Mary Poppins Returns (New)

Drop Outs:

Claire Foy, First Man (5)

Other Contenders:

Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased

Linda Cardellini, Green Book

Elizabeth Debicki, Widows

Sissy Spacek, The Old Man & The Gun

Margot Robbie, Mary, Queen of Scots