The smoke has just barely cleared from the 91st annual Academy Awards so of course we have to move on to the next one already. The next ceremony is about three weeks earlier next year which means late breaking films will have less time than usual to enter into the race. Usually a couple films every year are still filming late into spring and are able to make it in just under the wire. However that just seems a lot less likely with the nominations moving up next year. That will likely push several 2019 films into the next year. Even with this development 2019 looks stacked on paper with many big directors releasing their latest offerings. Jordan Peele's Us starts us off in just a couple weeks. Quentin Tarantino, Martin Scorsese, Pedro Almodóvar, and Steven Soderbergh all are prior Oscar winners releasing in this calendar year. Greta Gerwig releases her sophomore film Little Women, and we have potential new releases from Chloe Zhao, Benh Zeitlin, Todd Haynes and Wes Anderson.
It will be fun to see a year from now which films end up pulling ahead, but for now my gut is saying they finally reward Tarantino for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. He has never won the directing prize and there is nothing the Academy loves more than films about Hollywood.
For these predictions I am not including Wes Anderson's The French Dispatch or Benh Zeitlin's Wendy until we have confirmation that they will be released this year.
March Predictions (Predicted winners in BOLD)
Best Picture
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
The Irishman
Little Women
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Jojo Rabbit
The Report
Pain and Glory
Rocketman
Us
Nomadland
Other Contenders:
The Last Thing He Wanted
The Laundromat
Dry Run
Knives Out
The King
The Personal History of David Copperfield
Harriet
Cats
Queen & Slim
Best Director
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Greta Gerwig, Little Women
Marielle Heller, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Pedro Almodóvar, Pain and Glory
Other Contenders:
Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
Todd Haynes, Dry Run
Steven Soderbergh, The Laundromat
Jordan Peele, Us
Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Best Actress
Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Amy Adams, The Woman in the Window
Lupita Nyong'o, Us
Other Contenders:
Awkwafina, The Farewell
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Downhill (I will predict her if it is a 2019 release.)
Julianne Moore, Gloria Bell
Kristen Stewart, Against All Enemies
Charlize Theron, Fair & Balanced
Best Actor
Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Taron Egerton, Rocketman
Mark Ruffalo, Dry Run
Michael B. Jordan, Just Mercy
Other Contenders:
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Driver, The Report
Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems
Timothée Chalamet, The King
Matthew Rhys, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Will Ferrell, Downhill
Edward Norton, Motherless Brooklyn
Best Supporting Actress
Laura Dern, Little Women
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Meryl Streep, The Laundromat
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Other Contenders:
Scarlett Johannson, Jojo Rabbit
Penelope Cruz, Pain and Glory
Jennifer Hudson, Cats
Meryl Streep, Little Women
Emma Thompson, Late Night
Janelle Monae, Harriet
Bryce Dallas Howard, Rocketman
Anna Paquin, The Irishman
Anne Hathaway, Dry Run
Toni Collette, Knives Out
Jamie Lee Curtis, Knives Out
Emma Watson, Little Women
Best Supporting Actor
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Jamie Bell, Rocketman
Timothy Olyphant, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Other Contenders:
Willem Dafoe, The Last Thing He Wanted
Timothée Chalamet, Little Women
Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
Richard Madden, Rocketman
John Lithgow, Fair & Balanced
Robert Pattinson, The King
Predicted Winners:
Picture: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Director: Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Actress: Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Actor: Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Supporting Actress: Laura Dern, Little Women
Supporting Actor: Al Pacino, The Irishman
Original Screenplay: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adapted Screenplay: Little Women
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