Thursday, January 8, 2015

2015 Golden Globes Predictions

Here are my predictions for the 2015 Golden Globes on Sunday. The Globes have in recent years transitioned from their old position as a ceremony to kiss the butts of A-listers, to more of just an Oscar predictor. They will be the first to pick who Michael Keaton's biggest competition will be for the Oscar. The most up in the air category will be Best Actress - Musical or Comedy, because well anyone but Lil'Q could win. The Globes are the most fun, because they provide everyone with endless booze and this will be the last round with Tina and Amy so it should be a good one!

These predictions are just for the movie side, because honestly I couldn't care less about the TV side.

Best Picture - Drama
Boyhood - WINNER
Foxcatcher
The Imitation Game
Selma 
The Theory of Everything

This should be an easy win on the upcoming sweep for Boyhood. However the Hollywood Foreign Press could easily go for the British prestige pick, The Imitation Game (Plus we all know they eat up anything The Weinstein Company puts in front of them.) Selma could maybe upset, since the small group shouldn't have any of the screening problems that the Guilds have had so far.

Best Picture - Musical or Comedy
Birdman - WINNER
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Into The Woods
Pride
St. Vincent

This is between Birdman and Hotel. Birdman is just a bigger overall Award contender so I think they will go with it.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler
David Oyelowo, Selma - WINNER
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

Last year the Globes were the first awards body to tell us that Matthew McConaughey was the front-runner for Oscar. We can eliminate Carell. I can't see Gyllenhaal winning either, so the three British contenders will be fighting for the Globe. Selma is having screening troubles, but I don't think that should factor here. I could also see the Globes wanting to keep him propped up in the race so I see him winning. Redmayne is probably his biggest competition and has campaigned HARD. As baity as Stephen Hawking is as a role, Martin Luther King Jr., is the role that every actor could only dream of. Cumberbatch is the biggest star of the three, but at the end of the day I just feel like his buzz has dipped. As Weinstein's pony in this race he will of course be a major dark horse.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
Jennifer Aniston, Cake
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice - WINNER
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Julianne Moore is winning the Oscar. The media has tried to prop Aniston as her competiton but NO. Moore is winning everything en route to her overdue Oscar.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Comedy
Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Michael Keaton, Birdman
Bill Murray, St. Vincent
Joaquin Phoenix, Inherent Vice
Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes

Keaton is the front-runner for Oscar and will win this category easily. Fiennes is his only competition at the Globes, but that just isn't going to happen.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Comedy
Amy Adams, Big Eyes
Emily Blunt, Into the Woods - WINNER
Helen Mirren, The Hundred-Foot Journey
Julianne Moore, Maps to the Stars
Quvenzhane Wallis, Annie

Lil' Q and Mirren are not winning. Blunt is beloved by the HFPA, but has never won a film Globe. Adams won the Globe last year, and is backed by Harvey Weinstein. However a Moore win, would be so freakin' amazing. Probably my favorite Globe win ever. It's just so out there, but I could see the Globes capping off Moore's year with a double Globe win. At the end of the day, though HFPA loves their musicals so I'm going with Blunt.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Robert Duvall, The Judge
Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Edward Norton, Birdman
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash - WINNER

Thanks for showing up gentlemen, but J.K. Simmons is winning everything.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Patricia Arquette, Boyhood - WINNER
Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
Emma Stone, Birdman
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Never count Streep out at the Globes, Stone could have won back when it was all about the stars, but I do think they will go with the consensus which is Arquette.

Best Director
Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Ava DuVernay, Selma
David Fincher, Gone Girl
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Birdman
Richard Linklater, Boyhood - WINNER

This will go to whomever wins the Drama category which is between Selma and Boyhood. Linklater will probably come out on top, but Ava will be a huge contender and I'm sure the Globes would love to start the trek towards history.

Best Screenplay
The Grand Budapest Hotel-WINNER
Gone Girl
Birdman
Boyhood
The Imitation Game

I don't honestly know where the HFPA will go with this category. I'm going to go with Budapest and Wes Anderson, but honestly I'm not too confident.

Best Animated Film: The Lego Movie
Best Original Score: The Imitation Game
Best Original Song: "Glory" (John Legend and Common),
Best Foreign Language Film: Ida












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